Transportation Risk Management: International Practices for Program Development and Project Delivery 27
Macintosh HD:Users:sallyhoffmaster:Sally:ATI: RISK MANAGEMENT FULL REPORT:MPD Risk Mgmt Assessment Guide.xlsMPD Risk Mgmt Assessment Guide.xlsRisk Mgmt Assess Guide Feb 09, 9/13/12, 9:59 AM
MAJOR PROJECTS DIVISION PROJECT RISK MANAGEMENT ASSESSMENT GUIDE - FEBRUARY 2009
ATTACHMENT C
Note: - This guide illustrates the range of potential consequences and likelihood that may be associated with key project risk areas.
- Judgement is required to assess the consequences and likelihood of a risk event (both before and after effective risk treatment action).
Rare Unlikely PossibleLikelyAlmost Certain
Reputation
( Political & Community)
Environment
(Area Wide,
Permanent/Temporary,
Community Impact)
Security of
Assets
Management Effort Legal and Compliance
(Working within the law)
Health & Safety of Projects
activities
(Community or Staff)
OHS Regulations 2007
identified 'High Risk'
construction work
Business Performance,
Scope, Time & Capability
(Works Program, Scope,
Delay, Delay Notification &
Resources)
Financial
($ impact)
Stakeholder Management
(Communication &
Responsiveness)
Quality
(Immediate/Long Term
Performance, Reduced Life,
Appearance, Fit For Purpose)
Traffic Management
(Levels of Congestion)
Single events
Negligible likelihood
Likelihood low but
not negligible
Likelihood less
than 50/50
As likely as not to
happen (50/50)
More than likely to
happen
Catastrophic
(Worst case
scenarios)
* Significant adverse
community impact and
condemnation
* Consistent extreme negative
media attention (months)
* Irreconcilable community loss
of confidence in the Major
Projects Division's intentions
and capabilities and possibly in
the government
* Public Government
intervention
* Permanent damage over a
wide area affecting most of
Major Projects Division's
projects
* Permanent impact threatens
survival of flora or fauna
affecting most of Major Projects
Division's projects
* Threat to community health
* Significant or critical
community infrastructure assets
are destroyed
* Significant or critical
community infrastructure assets
are unusable for months
* Impact cannot be managed
within the organisation's
existing resources and
threatens survival of the
organisation
* Ministerial intervention
* Significant prosecution and
fines
* Major litigation involving class
actions
* Major non-compliance with
Legislation
* Fatalities or permanent
disabilities
* Section of the community or
workforce harmed
* Total failure to properly deliver
the Major Projects Divisional
works program and objectives
* All major projects expected to
miss completion date by > six
months
* Failure to provide notification
of timing issues causing
unacceptable impact on major
stakeholders/government
* Failure to achieve government
commitment
* Significant loss of capability
and expertise within Major
Projects Division for 6 months
* Significant adverse impact
(Greater than $100m financial
budget) on Major Projects
Division budget
* Divisional or Project
Stakeholder impacts requiring
Government intervention
* Stakeholder action will prevent
achievement of Divisional
objectives
* Major Infrastructure Failure.
* Extended closure (weeks or months)
of major section required
* Defect/failure significantly affecting
design life
* Repeated failure of infrastructure or
performance requirements affecting
most of Major Project's Division's
projects
* During construction continued
total failure in traffic management
resulting in prolonged congestion
on the immediate and extended
road network. Becomes a major
daily media item calling for
Government action the Premier
makes a statement.
* At openings of Major Project
Division's projects continued total
failure in traffic management
resulting in prolonged congestion.
* On Project opening, total failure
in traffic management resulting in
widespread congestion on the
immediate and extended road
network.
Medium Medium High Extreme Extreme
Major
* Considerable and prolonged
community impact and
dissatisfaction publicly
expressed
* Community loss of confidence
in the Major Projects Division or
Project's capabilities (weeks)
* Consistent negative media
attention (weeks)
* Ministerial intervention
* Pervasive and severe
temporary damage extending
over a large area requiring
extensive and lengthy
remediation and years of
recovery
* damage to flora or fauna
requires significant period of
recovery (years)
* Non-critical community
infrastructure assets are
destroyed
* Significant or critical assets
are unusable for weeks
* Impact requires long term
significant management and
organisational resources to
respond
* Major breach of regulations
* Major litigation
* Injuries requiring hospitalisation
* Increase in Major Projects
Division workforce absentee rate
* Major elements and objectives
of the Major Projects Divisional
works program will not be
achieved
* 50% of major projects
expected to miss completion
date by > six months
* Failure to achieve
commitment to a major
stakeholder
* Significant loss of capability
and expertise within Major
Projects Division for 2 months
* Significant loss of Business
Area/Project team capability
and expertise for 6 months
* $5m - $100m or greater than
10% adverse financial impact
on Major Projects Division
budget
* Greater than 10% adverse
financial impact to Project's
budget
* Divisional Stakeholder
impacts requiring Chief
Executive or Director Major
Projects intervention
* Stakeholder action will
prevent achievement of major
elements of the Project
* Serious defect requires closure for a
days at or after Project opening
* Defect/failure severely affecting
design life
* During construction, increased
levels of congestion resulting in
travel time increase through the
worksite by more than 20 minutes.
* Widespread congestion on
immediate road network.
* On Project opening, increased
levels of congestion.
Low Medium Medium High Extreme
Moderate
* Sectional community impacts
and concerns publicly
expressed (days)
* Negative media attention
(days)
* Loss of confidence by the
community in the Project's
processes
* Ministerial concern
* Severe temporary damage
over limited area requiring
extensive remediation
* Impact on flora or fauna is
recoverable
* A range of assets, including
some significant assets, are
unusable for weeks
* Impact requires management
and resources from a key area
of the organisation to respond
* Serious incident requires
investigation and legal
representation to determine
legal liability
* non-compliance with
regulation
* Injuries requiring medical
treatment
* Increase in projects workforce
absentee rate
* Lack of Project staff resulting in a
stressful working environment
* Major elements and objectives
of the Project's works program
will not be achieved
* Failure to achieve project
delivery impacting on
dependent works
* Project expected to miss
completion date by 1 to 3
months
* Significant loss of Business
Area/Project team capability
and expertise
* $1M - $5M or 5% to 10%
adverse financial impact and
financial performance to
Project's budget
* Project Stakeholder impacts
requiring Project Manager
intervention
* Stakeholder action will
significantly delay major
elements of the Project
* Serious defect (without closure) at
or soon after Project opening
* Design life threatened, some defects
issues causing inconvenience and
high financial loss
* During construction , slight
increase in levels of congestion
resulting in a travel time increase
through the worksite between 10
minutes to 20 minutes.
* Slight increase of congestion on
immediate road network.
* On Project opening, slight
increase in levels of congestion.
Low Medium Medium MediumHigh
Minor
* Local community impacts and
concerns
* Occasional once off negative
media attention.
* Temporary damage affecting
local area
* No threat to fauna or flora
* A number of assets unusable
but can be replaced within
acceptable timeframes
* Impact requires additional
local management effort or
redirection of resources to
respond
* Complex legal issue to be
addressed
* Injuries requiring first aid
treatment
* Increase in Project staff
absentee rate
* Lack of Project staff resulting in
overtime
* Requires rescheduling of
elements to achieve the works
program
* Project expected to miss
completion date by 1 to 3
weeks
* Short term loss of resource
capacity
* < 5% adverse financial impact
to Project's budget
* Project Stakeholder impacts
requiring Delivery Manager
intervention
* Stakeholder action will disrupt
planned project activities
* Extensive minor defects at opening
* Design life not threatened, minor
inconvenience, medium financial loss.
* During construction, marginal
increase in levels of congestion
resulting in travel time increase
through the worksite between 5
minutes to 10 minutes.
* Marginal increase of congestion
on immediate road network.
* On Project opening, marginal
increase in levels of congestion.
Low LowLow MediumMedium
Insignificant
* Isolated local community or
individual's issue-based
concerns.
* Minor temporary damage that
normal practice can rectify
* Assets receive minimal
damage or are only temporarily
unavailable
* Impact can be managed
through routine activities
* Legal issues managed by
routine procedures
* Incident with or without minor
injury
* Minor changes in scheduling
of works program
* Minor changes in milestones
* Temporary loss of resource
capacity
* Negligible impact on Project's
budget
* Stakeholder issues managed
by routine procedures and
consultation
* Localised minor defects at opening
* No noticeable impact on quality
objectives, low financial loss
* During construction, minor
increase in levels of congestion
resulting in travel time increase
through the worksite of less than 5
minutes.
* Minor delays/disruptions
affecting immediate road network.
* On Project opening, no increase
in levels of congestion.
Low LowLow LowMedium
RISK LEVEL CONTEXT AND TREATMENT ACTION REQUIRED
Extreme
High
Medium
Low
Several times a year
Recurring
events
Less than once in 5
years
About once in 5
years
Project - Risk is managed by current practices and procedures - consequences are dealt with by routine operations at Team Leader level - monitor routine practices and procedures for effectiveness.
Project - Consequences threaten completion of a Business Area/Project section or activity - existing controls must be effective and possibly additional treatment action effectively implemented - action to be managed at Project Delivery Manager level.
Likelihood Ratings and Risk Levels
Consequence Ratings
Division/Project - Consequences threaten the continuation of the Business Area/Project and possibly major impact to the reputation of VicRoads Major Projects Division requiring intervention from VicRoads executive management - requires prompt action by Director Major Projects to implement stringent new controls to
treat the risk.
Division/Project - Consequences threaten the effective completion of the Business Area/Project - existing controls must be effective and requires additional treatment action to be managed by Project Director level.
MAJOR PROJECTS DIVISION
PROJECT
Key Risk Areas, Success Factors and Illustration of Potential Impacts
About once in 3
years
About once a year
STEP 1
STEP 2
STEP 3
KRA
Figure 15. VicRoads Corporate Risk Management Assessment Guide.